You should refinance if you have a variable rate, or if your fixed rate becomes variable in the next 3-6 months. Here is why.
In the UAE, the norm is that Banks offer mortgages that are fixed for 1 year, 2 years, 3 years or 5 years. Post the fixed period, all these mortgages become variable and follow a variable structure of “Bank Margin” + “1 or 3M EIBOR”.
The Bank margin usually goes from 0.5% to 3%, depending on the client profile e.g. resident, non-resident, salaried, self-employed etc. The EIBOR part follows the EIBOR index, which is either 1M EIBOR or 3M EIBOR depending on the bank and the offer taken. Both 1M and 3M EIBOR are indices set and tracked by the UAE Central Bank.
Post the fixed period, all mortgages become variable and change on a monthly or quarterly basis based on the new value of the 1M or 3M EIBOR.
In an environment where rates are increasing, it is highly likely that mortgage holders end up paying more than their initial fixed monthly payments. In the finance jargon, we say that holders become “exposed” to variations in the mortgage rates, which are usually set by the banks.
This implies that in case of high swings, or increasing rates environment, it is highly likely that your mortgage payments will increase drastically over the next few months or years.
In the case of a 1M AED mortgage, that means paying 40,000 AED more on a yearly basis, than the initial fixed payout.
In the current environment where we operate (2023-25), it is assumed that rates will continue increasing, driven by inflation, which implies that your monthly payouts are also expected to continue increasing, if not refinanced with a fixed mortgage.
For more details about refinancing your mortgage